Portugal vs Spain prediction - World Cup 2026 Round of 16
Match events
PortugalSpain
- 89'
- 90'+1'0–1assist: Ferran Torres
- 90'+4'
- 90'+8'
Match stats
45%Possession55%
10Shots15
2Shots on target6
3Corners7
9Fouls13
Model's pre-match read
Portugal
18%
Draw
22%
Spain
60%
Expected goals 0.8–1.8 · actual result 0–1.
Tournament outlook
QF
SF
Final
Champ
Portugal
Eliminated
Spain
Model probability each side reaches each stage. A % is a forecast, capped at 99%.
Road to the final
QFSFFinal
vsBelgium
M98 · Fri, Jul 10 · Los Angeles
vsFrance
M101 · Tue, Jul 14 · Dallas
vsArgentina
M104 · Sun, Jul 19 · New York New Jersey
Spain's path from here — the most likely opponent at each round to the final.