France vs Spain prediction - World Cup 2026 Semi-finals
Match events
FranceSpain
- 9'
- 22'0–1
Mikel Oyarzabal(pen.) - 31'
- 58'0–2assist: Dani Olmo
- 86'
Match stats
49%Possession51%
10Shots10
3Shots on target2
7Corners1
11Fouls12
Model's pre-match read
France
30%
Draw
25%
Spain
45%
Expected goals 1.1–1.5 · actual result 0–2.
Tournament outlook
Final
Champ
France
Eliminated
Spain
Model probability each side reaches each stage. A % is a forecast, capped at 99%.
Road to the final
Spain's path from here — the most likely opponent at each round to the final.



