England vs Argentina prediction - World Cup 2026 Semi-finals
Match events
EnglandArgentina
- 37'
- 42'
- 51'
- assist: Morgan Rogers55'1–0
- 85'1–1assist: Lionel Messi
- 90'+2'1–2assist: Lionel Messi
- 90'+4'
Match stats
36%Possession64%
5Shots15
2Shots on target5
2Corners6
11Fouls15
Model's pre-match read
England
29%
Draw
25%
Argentina
47%
Expected goals 1.1–1.5 · actual result 1–2.
Tournament outlook
Final
Champ
England
Eliminated
Argentina
Eliminated
Model probability each side reaches each stage. A % is a forecast, capped at 99%.
Road to the final
Argentina's path from here — the most likely opponent at each round to the final.