Portugal vs Croatia prediction - World Cup 2026 Round of 32
Match events
PortugalCroatia
- 17'
- 53'0–1
- 59'
Cristiano Ronaldo(pen.)68'1–1- assist: Rafael Leão90'+4'2–1
- 90'+8'
Match stats
60%Possession40%
15Shots13
3Shots on target6
9Corners5
6Fouls12
Model's pre-match read
Portugal
48%
Draw
24%
Croatia
27%
Expected goals 1.5–1.1 · actual result 2–1.
Tournament outlook
R16
QF
SF
Final
Champ
Portugal
Eliminated
Croatia
Eliminated
Model probability each side reaches each stage. A % is a forecast, capped at 99%.
Road to the final
R16QFSFFinal
vsSpain
M93 · Mon, Jul 6 · Dallas
vsBelgium
M98 · Fri, Jul 10 · Los Angeles
vsFrance
M101 · Tue, Jul 14 · Dallas
vsArgentina
M104 · Sun, Jul 19 · New York New Jersey
Portugal's path from here — the most likely opponent at each round to the final.