Mexico vs England prediction - World Cup 2026 Round of 16
Kickoff
Sun, Jul 5, 8:00 PM EDT
Venue
Mexico City Stadium, Mexico City
Stage
Round of 16 · M92
Status
Full time
Match events
MexicoEngland
- 1'
- 36'0–1assist: Bukayo Saka
- 38'0–2assist: Harry Kane
- 42'1–2
- 54'
- 60'1–3
Harry Kane(pen.) - 68'
Raúl Jiménez(pen.)69'2–3- 71'
- 72'
- 90'+8'
- 90'+8'
Match stats
67%Possession33%
20Shots6
5Shots on target5
12Corners2
14Fouls7
Model's pre-match read
Mexico
36%
Draw
25%
England
39%
Expected goals 1.3–1.3 · actual result 2–3.
Tournament outlook
QF
SF
Final
Champ
Mexico
Eliminated
England
Eliminated
Model probability each side reaches each stage. A % is a forecast, capped at 99%.
Road to the final
QFSFFinal
vsNorway
M99 · Sat, Jul 11 · Miami
vsArgentina
M102 · Wed, Jul 15 · Atlanta
vsSpain
M104 · Sun, Jul 19 · New York New Jersey
England's path from here — the most likely opponent at each round to the final.