Mexico vs Ecuador prediction - World Cup 2026 Round of 32
Kickoff
Tue, Jun 30, 9:00 PM EDT
Venue
Mexico City Stadium, Mexico City
Stage
Round of 32 · M79
Status
Full time
Match events
MexicoEcuador
- assist: Roberto Alvarado22'1–0
- assist: Julián Quiñones31'2–0
- 45'+1'
- 90'+3'
- 90'+5'
- 90'+9'
Match stats
43%Possession57%
15Shots7
3Shots on target1
3Corners8
10Fouls14
Model's pre-match read
Mexico
53%
Draw
24%
Ecuador
24%
Expected goals 1.6–1.0 · actual result 2–0.
Tournament outlook
R16
QF
SF
Final
Champ
Mexico
Eliminated
Ecuador
Eliminated
Model probability each side reaches each stage. A % is a forecast, capped at 99%.
Road to the final
R16QFSFFinal
vsEngland
M92 · Sun, Jul 5 · Mexico City
vsNorway
M99 · Sat, Jul 11 · Miami
vsArgentina
M102 · Wed, Jul 15 · Atlanta
vsSpain
M104 · Sun, Jul 19 · New York New Jersey
Mexico's path from here — the most likely opponent at each round to the final.