France vs Sweden prediction - World Cup 2026 Round of 32
Kickoff
Tue, Jun 30, 5:00 PM EDT
Venue
New York New Jersey Stadium, East Rutherford
Stage
Round of 32 · M77
Status
Full time
Match events
FranceSweden
- assist: Ousmane Dembélé45'1–0
- assist: Michael Olise53'2–0
- assist: Michael Olise74'3–0
Match stats
61%Possession39%
25Shots8
12Shots on target3
9Corners1
14Fouls10
Model's pre-match read
France
85%
Draw
12%
Sweden
3%
Expected goals 2.3–0.3 · actual result 3–0.
Tournament outlook
R16
QF
SF
Final
Champ
France
Eliminated
Sweden
Eliminated
Model probability each side reaches each stage. A % is a forecast, capped at 99%.
Road to the final
R16QFSFFinal
vsParaguay
M89 · Sat, Jul 4 · Philadelphia
vsMorocco
M97 · Thu, Jul 9 · Boston
vsSpain
M101 · Tue, Jul 14 · Dallas
vsArgentina
M104 · Sun, Jul 19 · New York New Jersey
France's path from here — the most likely opponent at each round to the final.

