Brazil vs Japan prediction - World Cup 2026 Round of 32
Match events
BrazilJapan
- 12'
- 14'
- 29'0–1
- 45'
- 48'
- assist: Gabriel Magalhães56'1–1
- 84'
- 90'+5'2–1
Match stats
69%Possession31%
19Shots5
7Shots on target2
6Corners2
4Fouls13
Model's pre-match read
Brazil
53%
Draw
24%
Japan
23%
Expected goals 1.6–1.0 · actual result 2–1.
Tournament outlook
R16
QF
SF
Final
Champ
Brazil
Eliminated
Japan
Eliminated
Model probability each side reaches each stage. A % is a forecast, capped at 99%.
Road to the final
R16QFSFFinal
vsNorway
M91 · Sun, Jul 5 · New York New Jersey
vsEngland
M99 · Sat, Jul 11 · Miami
vsArgentina
M102 · Wed, Jul 15 · Atlanta
vsSpain
M104 · Sun, Jul 19 · New York New Jersey
Brazil's path from here — the most likely opponent at each round to the final.





