Germany vs Paraguay prediction - World Cup 2026 Round of 32
Match events
GermanyParaguay
- 42'0–1assist: Matías Galarza
- assist: Florian Wirtz54'1–1
- 65'
- 106'
- 115'
- 117'
Match stats
76%Possession24%
21Shots7
6Shots on target3
16Corners6
18Fouls12
Penalty shootout
Germany3
- Kai Havertz
- Joshua Kimmich
- Jamal Musiala
- Nick Woltemade
- Nadiem Amiri
- Jonathan Tah
Paraguay4
- Maurício
- Gustavo Gómez
- Matías Galarza
- Antonio Sanabria
- Fabián Balbuena
- José Canale
scored missed
Model's pre-match read
Germany
61%
Draw
22%
Paraguay
17%
Expected goals 1.8–0.8 · actual result 1–1 (3–4 pens).
Tournament outlook
R16
QF
SF
Final
Champ
Germany
Eliminated
Paraguay
Eliminated
Model probability each side reaches each stage. A % is a forecast, capped at 99%.
Road to the final
R16QFSFFinal
vsFrance
M89 · Sat, Jul 4 · Philadelphia
vsMorocco
M97 · Thu, Jul 9 · Boston
vsSpain
M101 · Tue, Jul 14 · Dallas
vsArgentina
M104 · Sun, Jul 19 · New York New Jersey
Paraguay's path from here — the most likely opponent at each round to the final.




