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United States vs Paraguay prediction - World Cup 2026 Group stage

Group stage · Group D · Match 4
United States
4–1Full time
Paraguay
Kickoff
Fri, Jun 12, 9:00 PM EDT
Venue
Los Angeles Stadium, Inglewood
Stage
Group D · M4
Status
Full time

Match events

United StatesParaguay
  1. 7'0–1
    Damián Bobadilla(o.g.)
  2. 10'
    Juan Cáceres
  3. Folarin Balogun
    assist: Christian Pulisic
    31'1–1
  4. Folarin Balogun
    assist: Malik Tillman
    45'+5'2–1
  5. Tim Ream
    52'
  6. 53'
    Miguel Almirón
  7. Tyler Adams
    59'
  8. 73'2–2
    Maurício
    assist: Julio Enciso
  9. 79'
    Diego Gómez
  10. 88'
    Alex Arce
  11. 90'+3'
    Júnior Alonso
  12. Giovanni Reyna
    assist: Alex Freeman
    90'+8'3–2

Match stats

65%Possession35%
16Shots9
6Shots on target1
3Corners1
13Fouls17

Model's pre-match read

United States
48%
Draw
24%
Paraguay
28%

Expected goals 1.5–1.1 · actual result 4–1.

Tournament outlook

R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
Champ
United States
Eliminated
Paraguay
Eliminated

Model probability each side reaches each stage. A % is a forecast, capped at 99%.

Explore the tournament

Group D

1United States6 pts
2Australia4 pts
3Paraguay4 pts
4Türkiye3 pts
Full standings & advancement odds

Final result

Spain
1–0
Argentina
Spain — champions

Title race

Full title race
1Spain99%

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United StatesParaguayFull scheduleHow it works
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