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Netherlands vs Sweden prediction - World Cup 2026 Group stage

Group stage · Group F · Match 35
Netherlands
5–1Full time
Sweden
Kickoff
Sat, Jun 20, 1:00 PM EDT
Venue
Houston Stadium, Houston
Stage
Group F · M35
Status
Full time

Match events

NetherlandsSweden
  1. Brian Brobbey
    assist: Cody Gakpo
    5'1–0
  2. Brian Brobbey
    assist: Denzel Dumfries
    17'2–0
  3. Cody Gakpo
    assist: Denzel Dumfries
    47'3–0
  4. 53'
    Gabriel Gudmundsson
  5. Cody Gakpo
    assist: Crysencio Summerville
    54'4–0
  6. 59'4–1
    Anthony Elanga
    assist: Alexander Isak
  7. 75'
    Yasin Ayari
  8. 80'
    Lucas Bergvall
  9. Crysencio Summerville
    assist: Memphis Depay
    89'5–1

Match stats

51%Possession49%
10Shots16
7Shots on target8
2Corners5
9Fouls12

Model's pre-match read

Netherlands
65%
Draw
21%
Sweden
15%

Expected goals 1.9–0.7 · actual result 5–1.

Tournament outlook

R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
Champ
Netherlands
Eliminated
Sweden
Eliminated

Model probability each side reaches each stage. A % is a forecast, capped at 99%.

Explore the tournament

Group F

1Netherlands7 pts
2Japan5 pts
3Sweden4 pts
4Tunisia0 pts
Full standings & advancement odds

Final result

Spain
1–0
Argentina
Spain — champions

Title race

Full title race
1Spain99%

▲▼ change since the start of today

NetherlandsSwedenFull scheduleHow it works
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