England vs Croatia prediction - World Cup 2026 Group stage
Match events
EnglandCroatia
Harry Kane(pen.)12'1–0- 36'1–1assist: Petar Sucic
- assist: Declan Rice42'2–1
- 45'+5'2–2assist: Ivan Perisic
- assist: Elliot Anderson47'3–2
- assist: Bukayo Saka85'4–2
Match stats
52%Possession48%
22Shots10
11Shots on target5
8Corners2
10Fouls12
Model's pre-match read
England
50%
Draw
24%
Croatia
26%
Expected goals 1.6–1.0 · actual result 4–2.
Tournament outlook
R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
Champ
England
Eliminated
Croatia
Eliminated
Model probability each side reaches each stage. A % is a forecast, capped at 99%.
Explore the tournament
Group L
1England7 pts
2Croatia6 pts
3Ghana4 pts
4Panama0 pts
Full standings & advancement odds
Final result
Spain
1–0
Argentina
Spain — champions
Title race
Full title race▲▼ change since the start of today