Netherlands vs Japan prediction - World Cup 2026 Group stage
Match events
NetherlandsJapan
- assist: Ryan Gravenberch51'1–0
- 57'1–1assist: Takefusa Kubo
- 61'
- 64'2–1
- 83'
- 89'2–2assist: Koki Ogawa
- 90'+1'
Match stats
60%Possession40%
10Shots10
6Shots on target3
5Corners4
7Fouls7
Model's pre-match read
Netherlands
43%
Draw
25%
Japan
32%
Expected goals 1.4–1.2 · actual result 2–2.
Tournament outlook
R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
Champ
Netherlands
Eliminated
Japan
Eliminated
Model probability each side reaches each stage. A % is a forecast, capped at 99%.
Explore the tournament
Group F
1Netherlands7 pts
2Japan5 pts
3Sweden4 pts
4Tunisia0 pts
Full standings & advancement odds
Final result
Spain
1–0
Argentina
Spain — champions
Title race
Full title race▲▼ change since the start of today