Mexico vs South Africa prediction - World Cup 2026 Group stage
Kickoff
Thu, Jun 11, 3:00 PM EDT
Venue
Mexico City Stadium, Mexico City
Stage
Group A · M1
Status
Full time
Match events
MexicoSouth Africa
- assist: Érik Lira9'1–0
- 17'
- 23'
- 49'
- assist: Roberto Alvarado67'2–0
- 74'
- 84'
- 90'+2'
Match stats
61%Possession40%
16Shots3
4Shots on target2
3Corners1
12Fouls11
Model's pre-match read
Mexico
77%
Draw
16%
South Africa
7%
Expected goals 2.1–0.5 · actual result 2–0.
Tournament outlook
R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
Champ
Mexico
Eliminated
South Africa
Eliminated
Model probability each side reaches each stage. A % is a forecast, capped at 99%.
Explore the tournament
Group A
1Mexico9 pts
2South Africa4 pts
3South Korea3 pts
4Czechia1 pt
Full standings & advancement odds
Final result
Spain
1–0
Argentina
Spain — champions
Title race
Full title race▲▼ change since the start of today